Techno-Economic Modeling of Climate Policies in Mexico: A Case Analysis of the Mexican Government
This project aims to develop quantitative models to assess the greenhouse gas mitigation potential of eight key public policies in Mexico, including energy efficiency, the Sembrando Vida program, and electromobility. In collaboration with INECC and the School of Government and Public Transformation, the costs and benefits of these policies will be analyzed to inform decision-making and accelerate the transition to a low-carbon economy.
Impact Data:
Did you know that Mexico has increased its climate ambition, moving from a 22% to a 35% emission reduction commitment for 2030?
To support this commitment, the 12 members of LCCS, together with a panel of experts in climate change, biodiversity, energy, and waste management from GIZ and INECC, are working on evaluating the mitigation potential and abatement costs of eight key measures designed to achieve these goals. These measures are public policies or government programs at the federal level.
Mitigation Potential
Currently, LCCS is analyzing eight measures spanning strategic sectors such as AFOLU, Transport, Energy, and Waste Management. Together, these measures offer a cumulative mitigation potential of up to 237 MtCO2e per year, notable examples include:
- The "Planting Life" program, Protected Natural Areas, and Blue Carbon in the AFOLU sector, which are crucial for carbon capture and biodiversity.
- Electromobility, remote work, and rail transportation, with a significant impact on reducing transportation emissions.
- Energy efficiency and circular economy, promoting a more sustainable use of resources.
Economic Results
Previous analyses, documented in official reports, show that these measures have an average cumulative cost of 104 billion USD by 2030, while net benefits amount to 157 billion USD, clearly demonstrating their economic viability.
- The transport and AFOLU sectors stand out, with lower net costs and higher economic benefits.
Additionally, in collaboration with Dr. Edmundo Molina, we have integrated the "Sí se puede" platform, developed by Tecnológico de Monterrey. This advanced tool allows us to:
- Optimize cost and benefit projections.
Design decarbonization strategies with greater precision, based on scenarios modeled with robust data.